It's been a rough stretch for the Winning Stats Predictor over the past four weeks, as we've sadly been hemorrhaging money, missing most of our high-percentage picks. Last week I couldn't believe how many games started off well, but just fell apart by the end of the games, resulting in a mind-numbing 3-12 week picking against the spread. We'll come out of this funk at some point, but it's truly been bad for the past month. Sorry guys.
If the Against the Spread picks weren't bad enough, the top four games to win all lost last week, even though we finished 9-5-1 for the week (damn ties). Let's get to this week's picks.
Lifetime Record (since 2008): 1100-1008-41 (52.1%) ATS, 1356-794-5 (63.0%) SU
2016 Record: 48-57-1 (45.8%) ATS (-$398.59), 59-47-1 (54.3%) SU
Week 7 Record: 3-12 ATS (-$119.73), 9-5-1 SU
Jaguars (+3) at Titans - Thursday 8:30 pm ET
Good start for the weekend, as the Titans rolled. More like this please.
Titans 29, Jaguars 22 (SU Win%: 67.9%, ATS Win%: 64.4%)
Redskins (+3) at Bengals - Sunday 9:30 am ET
Another London game, and this one should be a good one, evenly matched. I'll take the points, but it's going to be close.
Bengals 28, Redskins 27 (SU Win%: 54.5%, ATS Win%: 57.6%)
Patriots (-6.5) at Bills - Sunday 1:00 pm ET
I've been undervaluing the Patriots all season, so I'm not all that confident in this divisional-revenge game for the Patriots. But we can all hope, right?
Patriots 29, Bills 26 (SU Win%: 57.1%, ATS Win%: 67.9%)
Jets (-3) at Browns - Sunday 1:00 pm ET
I'm sorry if you live in a part of the country stuck with this game. Browns cover, fall short once again.
Jets 27, Browns 26 (SU Win%: 52.3%, ATS Win%: 60.4%)
Lions (+2.5) at Texans - Sunday 1:00 pm ET
If Brock Osweiler is going to play well at any point this year, it'll be this week against the worse-than-the-Colts Lions Defense. But I really like how the Lions have been playing Offense as of late, so I'll take them to win straight up in Houston.
Lions 29, Texans 27 (SU Win%: 53.8%, ATS Win%: 57%)
Chiefs (-2.5) at Colts - Sunday 1:00 pm ET
I'm not ready to say the Colts can beat a quality team, even at home, which is exactly what the Chiefs are. It will (obviously) be a one-score game, so Chiefs win, but only by 1, probably due to some bad decision made by Chuck Pagano.
Chiefs 28, Colts 27 (SU Win%: 54.7%, ATS Win%: 52%)
Seahawks (-2.5) at Saints - Sunday 1:00 pm ET
Another game extremely close, and while the Saints can't play Defense all that well, the Seahawks have been abysmal Offensively. Close game so I'll take the home dog.
Seahawks 25, Saints 24 (SU Win%: 51.5%, ATS Win%: 54.5%)
Raiders (+1.5) at Buccaneers - Sunday 1:00 pm ET
Raiders are 4-0 on the road this year, and I think they make it 5-0 in Tampa. Raiders are legit.
Raiders 26, Buccaneers 25 (SU Win%: 50.9%, ATS Win%: 52.5%)
Cardinals (+3) at Panthers - Sunday 1:00 pm ET
I really, really don't get this spread, which of course makes me nervous about what I'm missing here
Cardinals 25, Panthers 15 (SU Win%: 76.8%, ATS Win%: 90.5%)
Chargers (+5.5) at Broncos - Sunday 4:05 pm ET
San Diego won in Atlanta last week (the only thing I got right last week), and they beat the Broncos the week before. Denver is playing off a short week, but think they win a close game.
Broncos 20, Chargers 18 (SU Win%: 56.1%, ATS Win%: 64.5%)
Packers (+3) at Falcons - Sunday 4:25 pm ET
The Winning Stats aren't a fan of the Falcons (see the Chargers note above), so I'll take the Packers to win outright in Atlanta.
Packers 28, Falcons 27 (SU Win%: 52.3%, ATS Win%: 60.4%)
Eagles (+4.5) at Cowboys - Sunday 8:30 pm ET
Two rookie QBs, but the Eagles have a better Defense, so I'll take the Eagles to cover, Cowboys to win.
Cowboys 30, Eagles 27 (SU Win%: 57.7%, ATS Win%: 62.8%)
Vikings (-6) at Bears - Monday 8:30 pm ET
The Bears are a dumpster fire, even with Jay Cutler coming back. Vikings big.
Vikings 26, Bears 13 (SU Win%: 80.4%, ATS Win%: 68.7%)