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Colts Week 7 Fantasy Preview vs. Jaguars

Breaking down the fantasy prospects of Indianapolis Colts players in Week 7 against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

NFL: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

This week, the Indianapolis Colts take on one of the league’s best defenses in the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Colts have been able to skirt by lately against some floundering fantasy defenses, and they have capitalized.

However, this Jacksonville Def/ST is for real. They lead the league in sacks (23), takeaways (16), defensive touchdowns (4) and opponent passer rating (60.0). They are also top-10 in total defense (311.7 YPG), pass defense (166.0 YPG) and points per game (18.3). The bottom line — the Colts have their hands full, and fantasy owners of Colts players need to beware.

We'll use a simple rating scale for each player, grading each from A-F:

  • "A" is a 'must start'
  • "B" is a 'recommended start'
  • "C" is an 'if needed start'
  • "D" is 'don't start'

"F" is simply not a fantasy option at all this week.

QB Jacoby Brissett: D

Last three weeks average: 19.7-of-33.3 passing, 227.7 yards, 6.8 YPA, 0.7 TD, 0.7 INT, 5.0 carries, 20.7 yards per game

If Brissett is going to have a good fantasy game this week, it will be because he did damage on the ground. It is certainly possible seeing as he has 3 rushing TD’s this year.

Passing-wise, I don’t see Brissett having a productive game. The Jaguars have a rock-solid secondary with Jalen Ramsey, A.J. Bouye, Aaron Colvin, Barry Church and Tashaun Gipson. Brissett could have a TD but he is also likely to turn the ball over once or twice.

RB Frank Gore: B

Last three weeks average: 32.3 snaps, 12.0 carries, 47.7 yards, 0.0 TD, 2.7 catches (3.3 targets), 30.0 yards, 0.0 TD per game

Like how the New York Giants defeated the Denver Broncos last week, the Colts are going to have to get big production out of their run game if they are going to beat the Jaguars.

With Robert Turbin likely missing for the year, more third-down and short-yardage duty is likely going to fall on Gore’s shoulders. As long as the game is close, I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see him have around 20 carries. I like him this week both as a runner and pass-catcher.

RB Marlon Mack: B

Last three weeks average: 14.0 snaps, 5.7 carries, 35.3 yards, 0.3 TD, 0.7 catches (1.3 targets), 4.3 yards, 0.0 TD per game

The biggest beneficiary to Turbin’s injury is Mack. The Colts have been looking for ways to get him more involved, and now they can. An idea that’s been kicked around is making Mack the early-down back — which is normally Gore’s role. Then, move Gore into the third-down (pass protection) and short-yardage back, which was Turbin’s role.

With Mack’s ability to make a big play at any time (he’s got three 10-yard and five other 20-yard plays this year) and the fact that he almost certainly will get a boost in touches, I also like him this week.

WR T.Y. Hilton: C

Last three weeks average: 57.3 snaps, 3.7 catches (6.3 targets), 75.3 yards, 0.0 TD per game

As I mentioned in “Fire or Flop,” this does not look like a good week for Hilton at all. He gets a “C” because he’s at home and he normally does very well at home. Otherwise, he’s a dangerous play this week. Jacksonville gives up the second-fewest fantasy points per game to WR’s (13.53), and Hilton has only had two good fantasy games this season even though he’s had a good matchup four times. If the Colts want Hilton to carry their passing game this week, he needs to matchup in the slot with Colvin quite a bit.

WR Donte Moncrief: C

Last three weeks average: 46.3 snaps, 3.7 catches (4.3 targets), 43.0 yards, 0.3 TD per game

Like Hilton, Moncrief is a risky bet this week. While I give Hilton a little bit of a break because the Colts are at home, I give Moncrief a break because of his size. That will be crucial since both Ramsey (6-2, 208) and Bouye (6-0, 191) have good size and play physically.

Something that helps is that Brissett and Moncrief have gotten on the same page lately. Since Week 3, Moncrief has caught 13-of-16 targets (81%) and scored his lone TD on a downfield jump ball against the Seattle Seahawks.

TE Jack Doyle: B

Last three weeks average: 57.3 snaps, 4.7 catches (7.7 targets), 31.0 yards, 0.3 TD per game

Because of Hilton’s inconsistency this year, the Colts need Doyle to pull himself together. He has had a few drops, a couple of fumbles and missed time with a concussion in the last three weeks. The normally sure-handed TE needs to be able to move the sticks for this offense.

Brissett is not going to stop throwing Doyle the ball (7.8 targets per game), so he has to bring the catches in and hold on. This Jaguars Def/ST is susceptible to giving up plays to TE’s, as they rank 20th in FPPG allowed (8.20) to the position.

K Adam Vinatieri: B

Last three weeks average: 2.7-of-2.7 FGA (100%), 1.3-of-1.7 XPA (83.3%), 9.3 points per game

Vinatieri has been the most consistent part of the Colts “offense”. He has not missed a field goal attempt since Week 1, although he did “post” an extra point last week against the Titans. Vinatieri is someone you can count on each week.

Colts Def/ST: C

Last three weeks average: 450.7 YA, 35.0 PA, 2.0 sacks, 1.0 takeaway per game

This is a tough one. On one hand, you are facing QB Blake Bortles, who is a turnover magnet. On the other hand, the Jaguars do have the league’s second-leading rusher, RB Leonard Fournette, and it’s causing Bortles to throw the ball 28.3 times per game instead of his normally high-volume amount.

The Colts defense is second to last in total defense (410.0 YPG) and are last in points per game allowed (32.5). They have the fourth-most sacks (19) and sixth-most takeaways, so while they’re probably going to give up yards and points again, they could certainly get to Bortles and force a turnover or two.

Have any Colts or fantasy football questions? Jake puts out a Q&A video on Facebook Live every week where he answers your questions. Drop him your questions on his Facebook page here.