Let’s take a look ahead to this week’s matchup.
We'll use a simple rating scale for each player, grading each from A-F:
- "A" is a 'must start'
- "B" is a 'recommended start'
- "C" is an 'if needed start'
- "D" is 'don't start'
- "F" is simply not a fantasy option at all this week.
QB Jacoby Brissett: D
Last three weeks average: (2 games) 20-of-37 passing (54.1%), 216 yds, 5.8 YPA, 0 TD, 1 INT, 60.2 rating (only played one quarter Week 1)
Last week: 20-of-37 passing (54.1%), 216 yds, 5.8 YPA, 0 TD, 1 INT, 60.2 rating
If I’m being honest, I don’t hate Brissett’s fantasy prospects this week. However, I can’t imagine that you don’t have better options. Even if you’re streaming QB’s right now, someone like Carson Wentz or Jay Cutler is a safer bet.
Brissett is another week into the playbook and should have received about all of the first-team reps in practice. The Colts are also facing a worse defense in the Browns (also, no Myles Garrett or Jamie Collins) than they did in Brissett’s first start last week against the Cardinals. Progress is what should be expected, including from a fantasy perspective.
RB Frank Gore: C
Last three weeks average: (2 games) 25.5 snaps, 12 carries, 44 yds (3.7 avg), 0.5 catch (0.5 tgt), 5 yds per game
Last week: 32 snaps, 14 carries, 46 yds (3.3 avg), 0 catches (1 tgt)
Gore’s ADP of being about the 30th-ranked RB is coming to fruition now that the season is here. The Colts have had two totally different scenarios play out in their first two weeks but Gore has been similarly productive in both. Those two games will likely be a microcosm of his season. For example, in Week 1, he did not score a TD and had 5.7 fantasy points. In Week 2, he scored a TD but without it would have scored only 4.6 points. His value is very TD-dependent, and TD’s are impossible to predict.
RB Robert Turbin: C
Last three weeks average: (2 games) 21 snaps, 2.5 carries, 9 yds (3.6 avg), 0 TD, 1 catch (1 tgt), 2 yds (2.0 avg) per game
Last week: 28 snaps, 3 carries, 11 yds (3.7 avg), 0 TD, 1 catch (1 tgt), 8 yds (8.0 avg)
Turbin’s fantasy value (because of snaps) is about as frustrating as Marlon Mack’s, but I believe we saw a more realistic look at Turbin’s role last week against the Cardinals. He saw 28 snaps and was involved on third downs (pass protection), some red zone and saw some of his own drives, including early-down work. It falls in line with how the coaching staff was talking him up all offseason. However, like Gore, Turbin’s fantasy value is very TD-dependent. No Mack (shoulder) this week helps, but it is hard to be guaranteed anything by either Gore or Turbin.
WR T.Y. Hilton: B
Last three weeks average: (2 games) 54 snaps, 3.5 catches (6 tgt), 53 yds (15.1 avg), 0 TD per game
Last week: 64 snaps, 4 catches (6 tgt), 49 yds (12.3 avg), 0 TD
I really want to see a pissed-off TY Hilton this week against the Browns. His toughness and determination have been called into question after a slow start to the season, and he knows it. It doesn’t matter if Andrew Luck, Jacoby Brissett or Scott Tolzien is under center; Hilton needs to go off this week, and he is more than capable of doing it.
WR Donte Moncrief: D
Last three weeks average: (2 games) 49 snaps, 1.5 catches (5.5 tgt), 34 yds (22.7 avg), 0 TD per game
Last week: 53 snaps, 2 catches (7 tgt), 18 yds (9.0 avg), 0 TD
Moncrief is giving me definite trust issues right now. He and Brissett are very much out of sync right now, so hopefully that is getting better through practice. Regardless, if you take away Moncrief’s 50-yard catch from Week 1, he has done absolutely nothing of fantasy value through two weeks. I need to see production out of The Landshark before I can put him in my lineups.
TE Jack Doyle: B
Last three weeks average: (2 games) 58 snaps, 5 catches (5.5 tgt), 60 yds (12.0 avg), 0 TD per game
Last week: 70 snaps, 8 catches (8 tgt), 79 yds (9.9 avg), 0 TD
Now here is the most reliable Colt in fantasy. No matter which QB is under center, they love to look Doyle’s way. He is catching everything in sight. The only thing that is missing now is the end zone. Let’s also not forget that the Browns are giving up 23.7 fantasy points per game to TE’s.
K Adam Vinatieri: B
Last three weeks average: (2 games) 1.5-of-2 FGA (75%), 0.5-of-1 XPA (50%), 5 points per game
Last week: 2-of-2 FGA, 1-of-1 XPA, 7 points
An improving offense for the Colts, a struggling, banged-up defense for the Browns. The Goat will have his opportunities to pick up points, even more so than last week.
Colts Def/ST: B
Last three weeks average: (2 games) 381 YA, 31 PA, 2.5 sacks, 1 TA per game
Last week: 389 YA, 16 PA, 4 sacks, 1 TA
There are only two teams that give up more FPPG to Def/ST’s than the Colts, and that is the Houston Texans (18.5) and the Browns (17.0). I love rookie QB DeShone Kizer but the Browns are still very young and vulnerable on offense. The Colts will be able to get a grouping of sacks and takeaways.
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